Report
Report
Published August 29, 2023
Commercial Commercial Insights Economic & Market InsightsLenders are tightening underwriting criteria due to high delinquencies among consumers and small businesses amid inflation. People are revising their spending and investment plans. While technology companies thrive, sectors like logistics, Utilities, and Healthcare face challenges. Supply chain issues are easing, but reduced demand affects inventory orders, impacting trucking and logistics with lower tonnage and mileage. Consumers show resilience, bolstered by a strong job market, wage growth, and lower energy and food costs. However, dwindling savings and increased reliance on unsecured debt, along with the resumption of debt obligations like student loans, and ongoing inflation, put pressure on consumers. Recession fears are easing, but concerns for 2024 remain.
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Spending during the first quarter exceeded expectations, providing much-needed cash flow for small businesses. This influx of capital has enabled small firms to reduce debt and consider future growth and capital expenditures. Despite inflationary pressures and tighter lending conditions, the outlook remains cautiously optimistic. The Federal Reserve's anticipated rate cuts, expected to begin late in 2024, could further stimulate economic activity and provide a boost to small businesses.